|
|
Line 1,086: |
Line 1,086: |
| | | |
| | style="width: 618px;" | | | | style="width: 618px;" | |
− | '''<span></span><span></span><span></span><span>Finance provided by investors or lenders in the expectation of financial returns (profit). </span><span></span><span></span><span></span>''' | + | '''<span></span><span></span><span></span><span></span><span>The process of engineering, demonstrating, and bringing into use a new means of electricity provision, or adoption of a technology in use elsewhere and its adaptation to local conditions.</span><span></span><span></span><span></span><span></span>''' |
| | | |
− | <span>Private finance will be input on commercial terms, meaning that the investor or lender will expect to receive returns that exceed the original investment or loan and at a level that reflects the risks involved. Factors considered by financiers may include risks to implementation, delivery and technology performance, risks of cost escalation, market/demand and credit/payment risks, regulatory and macro-economic risks and external risks such as policy framework and weather. Any financier will require clear information on forecast revenues and potential risks before providing funding. It may be difficult for new electricity businesses working in new markets, and for users without a formal credit-record, to give commercial funders the confidence they require. Finance for electrification may come in the form of equity investment, or capital asset or working capital loans, and may be provided to a business as a whole, to a specific project or to end-users.<span><span><span></span><span></span></span></span></span> | + | <span>'''''Technology match''''' – for successful investment into expanded electrification, the key risks must be addressed. Financial and political risks will be key concerns, and the technology risk must also be considered. This does not necessarily relate to the correct operation of the technology, since most electricity generation, transmission and distribution systems to be used will already be well tried and tested elsewhere. However, there is a risk associated with matching the availability of local energy resources to the technology introduced. For distributed electrification systems, whether mini-grids or stand-alone, renewable energy resources will often be the principle fuel source though hybrid systems may also require diesel fuel. Careful assessment of resource availability is therefore required in advance of any technology selection. This will relate to the natural conditions (such as solar radiation intensity, wind speeds, and water flow rates) but also supply chains associated with biofuels and with any diesel fuel needed for hybrids or back-up systems.<br/><br/>'''''Technology transfer''''' – there have been, and continue to be, many programmes driven by industrialised countries that aim to use in developing countries those technologies that have been effectively demonstrated. This brings the advantage of reducing the risk for of trying to implement technologies for electrification that will not function in a way to achieve cost-effective power supplies to remote areas. The transfer of familiar technologies from an industrialised country may also bring the benefit of reduced costs for the recipient country since the provider can generate a new demand for technology that has saturated the market in its country of origin, and thereby justify reduced prices. However, this process of technology transfer can bring longer-term disadvantages to the developing country involved since any replacement of parts, maintenance or operations management may have to be sourced from the country of origin, which will lead to significant costs. For this reason, policy makers should consider the longer-term impact of technology transfer before accepting any systems for electrification that cannot be supported locally.</span><br/> |
| | | |
− | '''''Equity''''' - Any equity investment implies partial business ownership, with the investor taking the risk of losing their investment if the electricity venture fails, but also expecting to receive bonus returns if forecast targets are exceeded. Early stage investment in new businesses often relies on finance from entrepreneurial individuals, angel investors or venture capitalists who are willing to take large risks but expect to receive high returns on their investment if it’s successful.<br/><br/>'''''Loans''''' - capital asset loans are used, generally in later stages of business development and on specific projects, to leverage equity investment enabling businesses to scale up and expand their assets. Capital lenders expect repayment of loans over fixed periods and with pre-agreed (fixed or variable) interest rates, so that if profits fall short of forecasts payments are reduced only once equity capital has been exhausted, but if forecasts are exceeded lenders receive no additional benefit.<br/><br/>'''''Working capital'''''- alongside capital investment, most businesses require working capital to bridge the gap between expenditure and receipt of revenues. Working capital is particularly needed by, for instance, solar product businesses, where there may be three months or more between purchase/ import of the product by the business and sale to the end-user.<br/> | + | '''''Capital vs operational costs''''' – the choice of technology to be developed for remote electrification (whether grid extension, mini-grids or stand-alone systems) must take account of the quality of service, the social and environmental impact, but most importantly the cost implications for users. One fundamental issue is the choice of renewable energy technology or systems using fossil fuels (such as diesel or coal). The capital costs associated with renewable energy technologies can often present a critical barrier to potential users. This is despite the fact that the running costs will be minimal since the energy source is often freely available. Users often do not bear the upfront investment costs of electricity generation from fossil fuels, but may underestimate the longer-term financial obligation that is involved. Independent authorities, including the government, should seek to inform users and investors of the cost implications of technology development, and the likely affordability to the target customers. Introducing innovative financing mechanisms to offset the upfront costs of renewable energy technologies over a period of time is likely to bring great long-term benefit for end-users, as well as for the environment.<br/><br/>'''''Appropriate technology''''' – for technology to be appropriate, it must correspond to local needs. One of the key issues to address regarding any technology introduced for new electricity connections in developing countries is its affordability. Priority must be given to technology that can be built, operated and maintained by the local people with very limited outside assistance (technical, material, or financial) if it is to be sustainable. In many cases, the most advanced technology is inappropriate for the local needs and alternative approaches should be introduced, based upon the use of locally-available renewable resources, while promoting self-reliance. For successful electrification expansion, national and local governments, as well as private companies, must find technology options for new electricity connections that are both efficient and fit within fiscal limitations. Another key criterion for the adoption of appropriate technology is the “image of modernity”. It has been found that people in many developing countries (in the same way as people of many industrialized countries) want to perceive themselves as modern and progressive, at least within their personal<br/>context. Most people, wherever they live, want to feel significant and to be perceived as worthwhile. It follows, therefore, that an image of being modern is important to the success of any technology for electrification. People must believe that a technological device brings with it a degree of sophistication which can elevate the user’s social status as well as meet a basic human need. Any technologies introduced to bring electricity to previously unserved communities must take account of this fact if they are to achieve local acceptance.<br/> |
− | | + | |
− | '''''Sources of finance''''' - Often both international and local finance is required to support electrification – particularly where capital equipment or products are imported. The scale of funding needed for electrification may require international finance, and international financiers may have greater familiarity with, and hence be more comfortable with, some of the issues associated with the energy sector, particularly if their funding is channelled through an international company. However, local private funders will be more familiar with the national context and be more confident in resolving, and hence charge less premium for, risks associated with it. Exchange rate, and hence macro-economic, risks will always be an issue for private financiers where any of the electrification costs are in foreign currency. This issue will be greater where international funding is used to cover more than just import costs, and international funders will be very reluctant to provide finance if repatriation of funds is constrained. <br/>
| + | |
| | | |
| |} | | |} |
Line 1,102: |
Line 1,100: |
| {| border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="1" style="width:100%;" | | {| border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="1" style="width:100%;" |
| |- | | |- |
− | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(49, 49, 152);" | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> | + | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(0, 121, 144);" | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> |
| | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(0, 102, 0);" | | | | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(0, 102, 0);" | |
| <font color="#ffffff">Technology</font> | | <font color="#ffffff">Technology</font> |
Line 1,109: |
Line 1,107: |
| | | |
| | style="width: 616px;" | | | | style="width: 616px;" | |
− | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span>Most national grid systems are constructed using public funds, though private finance can be introduced through privatisation of existing assets, inviting private generators to feed into the national grid, or establishment of distribution/grid-connected mini-grid concessions. For instance, the introduction of feed-in tariffs (e.g. in Tanzania) has provided the basis for private investment in generation. Mini-grids are more frequently, though by no means always, financed by the private sector since the smaller investment and shorter payback period can reduce the risks and provides a more manageable business opportunity. Stand-alone systems offer even greater opportunities for market-based finance since the relatively short period between purchase and sale to the user means that that only business establishment and a small amount of equipment capital investment is at risk. | + | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span>New technologies may sit within a technology category (eg grid extension, mini-grid or standalone) or may span more than one category (eg an advance in electricity storage which could benefit both isolated mini-grids and standalone systems). |
| | | |
| |- | | |- |
− | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(49, 49, 152);" | <br/> | + | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(0, 121, 144);" | <br/> |
| | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(50, 100, 154);" | | | | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(50, 100, 154);" | |
| <span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Delivery Models</span><br/> | | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Delivery Models</span><br/> |
Line 1,119: |
Line 1,117: |
| | | |
| | style="width: 616px;" | | | | style="width: 616px;" | |
− | Application of market-based finance, by definition, requires private sector ownership or a public-private partnership (PPP). PPPs are often an effective way to attract private finance since the public-sector element can offer funding and offset the risk associated with financing of electrification. Any private or PPP financing will require a business model with clear investment requirements and projections of income that provide expected return on investment over an acceptable timeframe, and with acceptable levels of risk and uncertainty.
| + | The private sector will often bring forward new technologies, but they may be reluctant to implement them at scale because of the inherent risk. Private-public partnerships may provide a vehicle to bring in new technology, with the private sector providing the technology know-how while the public sector bears the additional technology risk. Adoption of technologies already demonstrated elsewhere and their adaptation for local use may be undertaken by the public or private sector alone. |
| | | |
| |- | | |- |
− | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(49, 49, 152);" | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> | + | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(0, 121, 144);" | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> |
| | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(154, 103, 0);" | | | | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(154, 103, 0);" | |
| <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Legual Basis</span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> | | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Legual Basis</span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> |
Line 1,129: |
Line 1,127: |
| | | |
| | style="width: 616px;" | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span> | | | style="width: 616px;" | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span> |
− | Any private finance provider will consider the legal basis of electrification in terms of the risk profile it presents to them. The lower the risk and the greater certainty, the more likelihood that private finance will be available and at a lower cost. The most fundamental requirement for any private investment in fixed assets is clarity around the legality of operating and selling electricity. This may be provided explicitly through a concession or license, or through a general exclusion of certain types of electricity provision (e.g. mini-grids below a certain size) from the need to be licensed. Without this basic regulatory clarity, and so with the risk that future introduction of regulation may undermine their business and restrict their levels of income, it will be extremely difficult to attract private finance for electrification.
| + | One reason for offering a concession is to support new technology development. In general, however, there is no particular association between new technology and any particular regulatory structure. |
| | | |
| |- | | |- |
− | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(49, 49, 152);" | <br/> | + | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(0, 121, 144);" | <br/> |
| | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(204, 51, 0);" | | | | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(204, 51, 0);" | |
− | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Price/Tariff Regulation</span><br/> | + | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Price/Tariff Regulation</span> |
− | | + | |
− | <br/>
| + | |
| | | |
| | style="width: 616px;" | | | | style="width: 616px;" | |
− | Is a critical factor for private investment in electrification, with inadequate or inappropriate price/tariff regulation often cited as the key barrier to such finance. Whatever form of price/tariff regulation is used the critical requirement is that it is clear and transparent, as without this, private financiers will see a significant risk of political pressure reducing prices or tariffs to the point below which they fail to cover investment costs.
| + | One of the main purposes in the medium term of adopting new technology is to drive down prices or tariffs, but initial demonstration projects may require a higher return on investment and (in the absence of specific grants or subsidies) this should be recognised in agreed prices/tariffs. |
| | | |
| |- | | |- |
− | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(49, 49, 152);" | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> | + | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(0, 121, 144);" | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> |
| | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(32, 56, 100);" | | | | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(32, 56, 100);" | |
− | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Other Forms of Finance</span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> | + | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Finance</span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> |
| | | |
| <br/> | | <br/> |
| | | |
| | style="width: 616px;" | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span> | | | style="width: 616px;" | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span> |
− | <span style="font-size: 13.6px;">In many cases some other form(s) of public finance such as grants, subsidies, concessionary loans, tax exemptions or guarantees (to reduce investment risks) will be needed alongside private finance to overcome the lack of user spending power and the high costs of early market development.</span><span></span> | + | <span style="font-size: 13.6px;">Private financiers are in principle interested in investing in new technologies, but may require higher rates of return and/or grants and subsidies to do so. In the medium term new technology should reduce electricity costs and hence user finance.</span> |
− | | + | |
− | '''''User Finance''''' – Charges paid by users provide the means to repay electricity providers’ loans and equity investments and pay interest and return on capital. Where upfront charges are imposed on users, they may in turn seek to borrow to cover these charges and then repay the loan over time. Alternatively the electricity provider may seek additional finance in order to reduce up-front charges and so minimize barriers to users accessing their services.
| + | |
| | | |
| |- | | |- |
− | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(49, 49, 152);" | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> | + | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(0, 121, 144);" | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> |
| | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(0, 100, 100);" | | | | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(0, 100, 100);" | |
| <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Non-Financial Interventions</span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> | | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Non-Financial Interventions</span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> |
Line 1,161: |
Line 1,155: |
| | | |
| | style="width: 616px;" | | | | style="width: 616px;" | |
− | Most support activities to assist national electrification will reduce the perceived financial risk and so help to attract private sector investment and sustainable market development. Providing policies and targets, standards and technical assistance for new electrification initiatives will all increase the private financier’s certainty regarding the likely outcomes and so reduce the risk of investment. Market information, capacity building and customer engagement through promotional activity will all have a similar positive effect.<span style="font-size: 13.6px;"></span>
| + | '''''[[National_Approaches_to_Electrification_–_Non-Financial_Interventions#Quality.2FTechnical_Standards|Quality/Technical Standards]]''''' – technology development must take account of all the relevant standards that are enforced in the country of implementation. However, such standards should take account of the differing needs of target customers for the expansion of electrification. Such users, often living in remote areas and having a low power demand, will not have the same technology needs as customers who need much greater electricity loads to be provided for. The application of<br/>the same technical standards may impose additional costs on remote users that mean the electricity supply will become unaffordable. Whilst the safety of supply must be maintained in all cases, other standards (such as the availability of electricity 24/7, or the complexity of control systems) may not be required and could thereby help to reduce electricity cost, hence increasing the level of access to remote areas.<span style="font-size: 13.6px;"></span> |
| + | |
| + | '''''[[National_Approaches_to_Electrification_–_Non-Financial_Interventions#Direct_Energy_Access_Provision|Direct Energy Access Provision]]''''' – the focus for technology development, and in particular the financial implications, will have direct impact on the provision of energy access for remote communities. Appropriate technologies are required to meet the energy needs of target customers, at a price that is affordable. Only with knowledge of acceptable pricing will technology developers be able to introduce the systems that can provide increased energy access on a sustainable basis for the communities concerned.<br/> |
| | | |
| |} | | |} |
Line 1,171: |
Line 1,167: |
| {| border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="1" style="width:100%;" | | {| border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="1" style="width:100%;" |
| |- | | |- |
− | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(49, 49, 152);" | <br/> | + | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(0, 121, 144);" | <br/> |
| | | | | |
− | If private finance is attracted, it can support rapid electrification at a large scale, and can free up public funding to be used for other things. If market conditions are such as to attract purely private finance, this indicates that the electrification process will be self-sustaining without dependence upon external grants or subsidies from the government or donor organisations. Where customers are able to pay for electricity at a level that allows the supply to be maintained under market conditions, there is no concern over the withdrawal of public funding that may then prevent continued access to electricity. Experience also indicates that involvement of private finance can drive innovation and efficiencies in electrification as in other sectors.
| + | The advantages of appropriate technology development are widespread, with the main result being the application of affordable systems that meet the needs of the target users. This will require an approach that maximises the use of local resources, including labour, thereby increasing local economic value and income generation opportunities for local people. The implementation of appropriate technology will satisfy the current customer demands and generate increasing interest in the supply of more power to fuel growing numbers of applications and associated job-creation. Technology development that is effectively targeted at local needs can therefore motivate local economic development and lead to a sustainable market for a growing range of electricity supply systems. |
| | | |
− | Private finance, however, requires clear evidence that revenues will provide returns on investment, and this may be an insurmountable barrier, particularly for forms of electrification such as grid and mini-grid systems which have high upfront capital costs that will be recovered over long periods (perhaps 20 years). Even where macro-economic conditions are stable, regulatory frameworks and prices/tariffs transparent, and users able to afford electricity, financiers may be reluctant to provide support in the absence of established companies with a track record of performance. Much time and effort may be expended in the attempt to attract sufficient private finance without the required results. Furthermore, private finance is usually more expensive than general government borrowing and this will particularly be the case for programmes that are seen by the financiers as carrying significant levels of risk.
| + | Disadvantages from technology development for electrification occur if the introduction of new systems is misaligned to the interests and profile of the target customers. In this case, technologies may at one extreme be considered as second-rate solutions for access to electricity and so generate little demand. At the other extreme, systems may be introduced that are too advanced for local needs and unaffordable for the target market. Alternatively they may, in practice, fail to deliver the performance they were planned to achieve, resulting in electricity which is both unreliable and uneconomic. In either case, this will bring frustration to the local communities and possible the rejection of any attempts to provide access to electricity. To avoid this new technologies should always be demonstrated at pilot scale in the local context before being implemented at scale. |
| | | |
| |} | | |} |
Line 1,185: |
Line 1,181: |
| {| border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="1" style="width:100%;" | | {| border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="1" style="width:100%;" |
| |- | | |- |
− | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(49, 49, 152);" | <br/> | + | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(0, 121, 144);" | <br/> |
| | | | | |
− | *De Montfort University (2013), Financing Energy Access and Off-grid Electrification: A Review of Status, Options and Challenges [https://www.dmu.ac.uk/documents/technology-documents/research-faculties/oasys/project-outputs/peer-reviewed-journal-articles/pj7--financing-energy-access--rser-paper.pdf https://www.dmu.ac.uk/documents/technology-documents/research-faculties/oasys/project-outputs/peer-reviewed-journal-articles/pj7--financing-energy-access--rser-paper.pdf]
| |
− | *UNEP-FI (2012), Financing renewable energy in developing countries [http://www.unepfi.org/fileadmin/documents/Financing_Renewable_Energy_in_subSaharan_Africa.pdf http://www.unepfi.org/fileadmin/documents/Financing_Renewable_Energy_in_subSaharan_Africa.pdf]
| |
− |
| |
| |} | | |} |
| | | |
Line 1,198: |
Line 1,191: |
| {| border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="1" style="width:100%;" | | {| border="1" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="1" style="width:100%;" |
| |- | | |- |
− | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(49, 49, 152);" | <br/> | + | | style="width: 10px; background-color: rgb(0, 121, 144);" | <br/> |
| | | | | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Bangladesh, IDCOL Solar Home Systems|Bangladesh, IDCOL Solar Home Systems]]<br/> | + | *[[NAE_Case_Study:_Tunisia,_Low_Cost_Distribution_Technology|Tunisia, Low Cost Distribution Technology]] |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Brazil, Luz para Todos (Light for All)|Brazil, Luz para Todos (Light for All)]]<br/>
| + | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Cambodia “Light Touch” Regulation|Cambodia “Light Touch” Regulation]]<br/>
| + | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Ethiopia, Solar Market Development|Ethiopia, Solar Market Development]]<br/>
| + | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Kenya, Off-Grid for Vision 2030|Kenya, Off-Grid for Vision 2030]]<br/>
| + | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Mali, Rural Electrification Programme|Mali, Rural Electrification Programme]]<br/>
| + | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Philippines, Islanded Distribution by Cooperatives|Philippines, Islanded Distribution by Cooperatives]]<br/>
| + | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Rwanda, Sector-Wide Approach to Planning|Rwanda, Sector-Wide Approach to Planning]]<br/>
| + | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Tanzania, Mini-Grids Regulatory Framework|Tanzania, Mini-Grids Regulatory Framework]]<br/>
| + | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Vietnam, Rapid Grid Expansion|Vietnam, Rapid Grid Expansion]]<br/>
| + | |
| | | |
| |} | | |} |
− |
| |
− | <br/>
| |
| | | |
| <br/> | | <br/> |
Interventions should be regarded as part of a National Electrification Approache only if they are integral to governement electrification policy/strategy
Since capacity building can be applied in all areas of activity related to national electrification activities, each of the other NEA categories can be impacted to some degree. However, there are some categories where capacity building may have a significant effect, such as those indicated below.
The Review was prepared by Mary Willcox and Dean Cooper of Practical Action Consulting working with Hadley Taylor, Silvia Cabriolu-Poddu and Christina Stuart of the EU Energy Initiative Partnership Dialogue Facility (EUEIPDF) and Michael Koeberlein and Caspar Priesemann of the Energising Development Programme (EnDev). It is based on a literature review, stakeholder consultations. The categorization framework in the review tool is based on the EUEI/PDF / Practical Action publication "Building Energy Access Markets - A Value Chain Analysis of Key Energy Market Systems".
A wider range of stakeholders were consulted during its preparation and we would particularly like to thank the following for their valuable contributions and insights:
- Jeff Felten, AfDB - Marcus Wiemann and other members, ARE - Guilherme Collares Pereira, EdP - David Otieno Ochieng, EUEI-PDF - Silvia Luisa Escudero Santos Ascarza, EUEI-PDF - Nico Peterschmidt, Inensus - John Tkacik, REEEP - Khorommbi Bongwe, South Africa: Department of Energy - Rashid Ali Abdallah, African Union Commission - Nicola Bugatti, ECREEE - Getahun Moges Kifle, Ethiopian Energy Authority - Mario Merchan Andres, EUEI-PDF - Tatjana Walter-Breidenstein, EUEI-PDF - Rebecca Symington, Mlinda Foundation - Marcel Raats, RVO.NL - Nico Tyabji, Sunfunder -