Revision as of 09:50, 13 December 2013

WORK IN PROGRESS

In the article at hand energy access figures from various sources, published at different times, are summarized.

Electricity Access

Lack of access to electricity worldwide (absolute numbers)

IIASA GEA 2012^[1]	2010 - 1.4 billion
IEA WEO 2013^[2]	2011 – 1.257 billion	2030 – 969 million
IEA WEO 2012^[3]	2010 - 1.267 billion	2030 - 991 million
IEA WEO 2011^[4]	2009 - 1.317 billion	2030 – 1,036 million
Practical Action 2012^[5]	2009/2010 - 1.5 billion	2030 - 900 million
UN GA 2010^[6]	2009/2010 – 1.5 billion
WHO 2009^[7]	2009 - 1.5 billion
AGECC 2010^[8]	2009 - About 1.5 billion

Lack of access to electricity regional (absolute numbers)

Sub-Saharan Africa

Developing Asia

Latin America

IEA WEO 2013

2011

599 mio

2030

645 mio

2011

615 mio

2030

324 mio

2011

24 mio

2030

0 mio

IEA WEO 2012

2010

589 mio

2030

655 mio

2010

628 mio

2030

334 mio

2010

29 mio

2030

0 mio

IEA WEO 2011

2009

586 mio

2030

645 mio

2009

675 mio

2030

376 mio

2009

31 mio

2030

10 mio

Access to Electricity worldwide (% of population)

	Present			Future
UN SE4All 2013^[9]	Total 2010: 83%	Rural 2010: 70%	Urban 2010: 95%
PPHP 2013^[10]	Total 2010: 78%			Total 2035: 89%	Total 2060: 95%
IEA WEO 2012	Total 2010: 81%			Total 2030: 88%
UN Energy	Total ???: 72%

Access to Electricity regional (% of population)

		Africa		Asia		Latin America
UN SE4All 2013	Total	Sub-Saharan 32% North Africa 99%		Caucasus a Central 100% East Asia 98% Oceania 25% South Asia 75% South East Asia 88% West Asia 91%		Latin America and Caribbean 95%
	Rural	Sub-Saharan 14% North Africa 99%		Caucasus a Central 99% East Asia 97% Oceania 14% South Asia 67% South East Asia 80% West Asia 78%		Latin America and Caribbean 84%
	Urban	Sub-Saharan 63% North Africa 100%		Caucasus a Central 100% East Asia 98% Oceania 65% South Asia 94% South East Asia 97% West Asia 97%		Latin America and Caribbean 98%
		Sub-Saharan Africa		Developing Asia		Latin America
IEA WEO 2012		2010 32%	2030 52%	2010 82%	2030 92%	2010 94%	2030 100%
IEA WEO 2011		2009 31%	2030 51%	2009 81%	2030 91%	2009 93%	2030 98%

Access to clean cooking energy

People relying on traditional biomass worldwide (absolute numbers)

IEA WEO 2013	2011 – 2.642 billion¹	2030 – 2.524 billion
IEA WEO 2012	2010 - 2.588 billion	2030 - 2.595 billion
IEA WEO 2011	2009 – 2.662 billion	2030 – 2.715 billion
IIASA GEA 2012	2009 about 2.7 billion	(Based on IEA 2010)
Practical Action 2012	2010 – nearly 3 billion	2030 – 3 billion
GACC^[11]	2009 (solid fuels) about 3 billion
WHO 2011^[12]	2009 (solid fuels) about 3 billion
UN Energy^[13]	2013 (solid fuels) about 3 billion
AGECC 2010	2009 (solid fuels) appr. 3 billion
UN GA 2010	2009/2010 - 3 billion

¹ Increased number of people relying on traditional use of biomass (from WEO 2012 to WEO 2013) is caused by population number upward revision for India.

People relying on traditional biomass regional (absolute numbers)

Sub-Saharan Africa

Developing Asia

Latin America

IEA WEO 2013

2011

696 mio

2030

881 mio

2011

1,869 mio

2030

1,582 mio

2011

68 mio

2030

53 mio

IEA WEO 2012

2010

696 mio

2030

883 mio

2010

1,814 mio

2030

1,640 mio

2010

65 mio

2030

62 mio

IEA WEO 2011

2009

653 mio

2030

918 mio

2009

1,921 mio

2030

1,769 mio

2009

85 mio

2030

79 mio

Access to non-solid-biofuels worldwide (% of population)

UN SE4All 2013

Total 2010: 59%

Rural 2010: 35%

Urban 2010: 84%

Household Use of modern Forms of Energy (% of population)

PPHP 2013

Total 2010: 57%

Total 2035: 78%

Total 2060: 88%

Cooking with traditional biomass worldwide (% of population)

IEA WEO 2012

Total 2010: 49%

Total 2030: 39%

Access to Non-solid fuels regional (% of population)

		Africa	Asia	Latin America
UN SE4All 2013	Total	Sub-Saharan 19% North Africa 100%	Caucasus a Central 85% East Asia 55% Oceania 31% South Asia 40% South East Asia 48% West Asia 95%	Latin America and Caribbean 86%
	Rural	Sub-Saharan 6% North Africa 99%	Caucasus a Central 74% East Asia 35% Oceania 21% South Asia 23% South East Asia 27% West Asia 86%	Latin America and Caribbean 57%
	Urban	Sub-Saharan 42% North Africa 100%	Caucasus a Central 98% East Asia 76% Oceania 73% South Asia 78% South East Asia 77% West Asia 99%	Latin America and Caribbean 94%

Cooking with traditional biomass (% of population)

	Sub-Saharan Africa		Developing Asia		Latin America
IEA WEO 2012	2010 81%	2030 65%	2010 51%	2030 39%	2010 14%	2030 11%
IEA WEO 2011	2009 78%	2030 67%	2009 54%	2030 41%	2009 19%	2030 14%

Necessary Investment for Universal Access to Modern Energy Services

Additional average annual investment needed for total/universal energy access

	Annually	comments
UN SE4All 2013	33.9 billion USD
IEA WEO 2011	from 2010 34 billion USD (in total 1 trillion USD (296 billion USD in new policies) 640 billion USD)
AGECC 2010	35-40 billion USD
Pachauri et al 2012^[14]	65 – 86 billion USD	(only grid–access and LPG-like cooking)

Electricity

Additional average annual investment needed for total universal electricity access regional, in billion USD

	Global	Africa	Asia	Latin America
UN SE4All 2013	30.1 bn USD	SSA 19.1 bn USD	EA & Oce 0.4 bn USD SA 9.2 bn USD SEA 1.3 bn USD
IEA WEO 2011	30.5 bn USD	SSA 18.5 bn USD	Dev. A. 11.5 bn USD only India 6.4 bn USD	0.3 bn USD
Ruijven et al. 2012^[15]	From 2010 - 2030 238 – 400 bn USD	SSA 6.1 – 10.2 bn USD	Asia 1.4 – 2.5 bn USD	LA 4.3 – 7.1 bn USD

SSA: Sub-Saharan Africa, Dev. A.: Developing Asia, EA: East Asia, Oce: Oceania, SA: Southern Asia, SEA: South-Eastern Asia