Revision as of 12:41, 13 December 2013

WORK IN PROGRESS

In the article at hand energy access and investment needs figures from various sources, published at

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different times, are summarized. This article is only meant to give a rough overview of existing reliable sources concerning energy access for electricity and cooking energy and investment needs necessary to provide universal access to energy, on a worldwide and regional scale. The presented sources use different input data, different methodologies and different regional aggregates for their calculations and estimates, thus a comparison of calculation and estimation outcomes is difficult and is beyond the scope of this article. In order to enable the access of the original data, in the last section of this article, all the covered sources are declared. The information in this article was combiled by HERA - Poverty-oriented Basic Energy Services.

Electricity Access

Lack of access to electricity worldwide (absolute numbers)

Source	Present	Future
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Global Energy Assessment (IIASA GEA 2012)^[1]	2010 - 1.4 billion
International Energy Agency, World Energy Outlook (IEA WEO) 2013^[2]	2011 – 1.257 billion	2030 – 969 million
IEA WEO 2012^[3]	2010 - 1.267 billion	2030 - 991 million
IEA WEO 2011^[4]	2009 - 1.317 billion	2030 – 1,036 million
Practical Action 2012^[5]	2009/2010 - 1.5 billion	2030 - 900 million
United National General Assembly (UN GA) 2010^[6]	2009/2010 – 1.5 billion
World Health Orgnaisation (WHO) 2009^[7]	2009 - 1.5 billion
UN Secretary-General´s Advisory Group on Energy and Climate Change (AGECC) 2010^[8]	2009 - About 1.5 billion

Lack of access to electricity regional (absolute numbers)

Source

Sub-Saharan Africa

Developing Asia

Latin America

IEA WEO 2013

2011

599 mio

2030

645 mio

2011

615 mio

2030

324 mio

2011

24 mio

2030

0 mio

IEA WEO 2012

2010

589 mio

2030

655 mio

2010

628 mio

2030

334 mio

2010

29 mio

2030

0 mio

IEA WEO 2011

2009

586 mio

2030

645 mio

2009

675 mio

2030

376 mio

2009

31 mio

2030

10 mio

Access to Electricity worldwide (% of population)

Source	Present			Future
United Nations Sustainable Energy for All (UN SE4All) 2013^[9]	Total 2010: 83%	Rural 2010: 70%	Urban 2010: 95%
University Denver, Paterns of Potential Human Progress (PPHP) 2013^[10]	Total 2010: 78%			Total 2035: 89%	Total 2060: 95%
IEA WEO 2012	Total 2010: 81%			Total 2030: 88%
UN Energy	Total ???: 72%

Access to Electricity regional (% of population)

Source		Africa		Asia		Latin America
UN SE4All 2013	Total	Sub-Saharan 32% North Africa 99%		Caucasus a Central 100% East Asia 98% Oceania 25% South Asia 75% South East Asia 88% West Asia 91%		Latin America and Caribbean 95%
	Rural	Sub-Saharan 14% North Africa 99%		Caucasus a Central 99% East Asia 97% Oceania 14% South Asia 67% South East Asia 80% West Asia 78%		Latin America and Caribbean 84%
	Urban	Sub-Saharan 63% North Africa 100%		Caucasus a Central 100% East Asia 98% Oceania 65% South Asia 94% South East Asia 97% West Asia 97%		Latin America and Caribbean 98%
		Sub-Saharan Africa		Developing Asia		Latin America
IEA WEO 2012		2010 32%	2030 52%	2010 82%	2030 92%	2010 94%	2030 100%
IEA WEO 2011		2009 31%	2030 51%	2009 81%	2030 91%	2009 93%	2030 98%

Access to clean cooking energy

People relying on traditional biomass worldwide (absolute numbers)

Source	Present	Future
IEA WEO 2013	2011 – 2.642 billion¹	2030 – 2.524 billion
IEA WEO 2012	2010 - 2.588 billion	2030 - 2.595 billion
IEA WEO 2011	2009 – 2.662 billion	2030 – 2.715 billion
IIASA GEA 2012	2009 about 2.7 billion	(Based on IEA 2010)
Practical Action 2012	2010 – nearly 3 billion	2030 – 3 billion
Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves (GACC)^[11]	2009 (solid fuels) about 3 billion
WHO 2011^[12]	2009 (solid fuels) about 3 billion
UN Energy^[13]	2013 (solid fuels) about 3 billion
AGECC 2010	2009 (solid fuels) appr. 3 billion
UN GA 2010	2009/2010 - 3 billion

¹ Increased number of people relying on traditional use of biomass (from WEO 2012 to WEO 2013) is caused by population number upward revision for India.

People relying on traditional biomass regional (absolute numbers)

Source

Sub-Saharan Africa

Developing Asia

Latin America

IEA WEO 2013

2011

696 mio

2030

881 mio

2011

1,869 mio

2030

1,582 mio

2011

68 mio

2030

53 mio

IEA WEO 2012

2010

696 mio

2030

883 mio

2010

1,814 mio

2030

1,640 mio

2010

65 mio

2030

62 mio

IEA WEO 2011

2009

653 mio

2030

918 mio

2009

1,921 mio

2030

1,769 mio

2009

85 mio

2030

79 mio

Access to non-solid-biofuels worldwide (% of population)

Source	Present			Future
UN SE4All 2013	Total 2010: 59%	Rural 2010: 35%	Urban 2010: 84%

Household Use of modern Forms of Energy (% of population)

Source	Present			Future
PPHP 2013	Total 2010: 57%			Total 2035: 78%	Total 2060: 88%

Cooking with traditional biomass worldwide (% of population)

Source	Present			Future
IEA WEO 2012	Total 2010: 49%			Total 2030: 39%

Access to Non-solid fuels regional (% of population)

Source		Africa		Asia	Latin America
UN SE4All 2013	Total	Sub-Saharan 19% North Africa 100%	Caucasus a Central 85% East Asia 55% Oceania 31% South Asia 40% South East Asia 48% West Asia 95%	Latin America and Caribbean 86%
	Rural	Sub-Saharan 6% North Africa 99%	Caucasus a Central 74% East Asia 35% Oceania 21% South Asia 23% South East Asia 27% West Asia 86%	Latin America and Caribbean 57%
	Urban	Sub-Saharan 42% North Africa 100%	Caucasus a Central 98% East Asia 76% Oceania 73% South Asia 78% South East Asia 77% West Asia 99%	Latin America and Caribbean 94%

Cooking with traditional biomass (% of population)

Source	Sub-Saharan Africa		Developing Asia		Latin America
IEA WEO 2012	2010 81%	2030 65%	2010 51%	2030 39%	2010 14%	2030 11%
IEA WEO 2011	2009 78%	2030 67%	2009 54%	2030 41%	2009 19%	2030 14%

Necessary Investment for Universal Access to Modern Energy Services

Additional average annual investment needed for total/universal energy access

Source	Annually	comments
UN SE4All 2013	33.9 billion USD
IEA WEO 2011	from 2010 34 billion USD (in total 1 trillion USD (296 billion USD in new policies) 640 billion USD)
AGECC 2010	35-40 billion USD
Pachauri et al 2012^[14]	65 – 86 billion USD	(only grid–access and LPG-like cooking)

Electricity

Additional average annual investment needed for total universal electricity access regional, in billion USD

Source	Global	Africa	Asia	Latin America
UN SE4All 2013	30.1 bn USD	SSA 19.1 bn USD	EA & Oce 0.4 bn USD SA 9.2 bn USD SEA 1.3 bn USD
IEA WEO 2011	30.5 bn USD	SSA 18.5 bn USD	Dev. A. 11.5 bn USD only India 6.4 bn USD	0.3 bn USD
Ruijven et al. 2012^[15]	From 2010 - 2030 238 – 400 bn USD	SSA 6.1 – 10.2 bn USD	Asia 1.4 – 2.5 bn USD	LA 4.3 – 7.1 bn USD

SSA: Sub-Saharan Africa, Dev. A.: Developing Asia, EA: East Asia, Oce: Oceania, SA: Southern Asia, SEA: South-Eastern Asia

'Electricity Access for All - Proposed share of necessary annual investment needed per technology'

Source

Technology

Investment needed per year

IEA WEO 2011

In Total

On-grid electrification

Mini-grid electrification

Off-grid electrification

30.5 billion USD/year

11 billion USD/year

12 billion USD/year

7 billion USD/year

Cooking Energy

Additional average annual investment needed to achieve universal access to clean cooking facilities, regional, in billion USD

Source

Global

Africa

Asia

Latin America

UN SE4All 2013

3.8 bn USD

SSA 1.1 bn USD

ME & NAf 0.01 bn USD

EA & Oce 0.9 bn USD

SA 1.2 bn USD

SEA 0.4 bn USD

0.2 bn USD

IEA WEO 2011

3.5 bn USD

SSA 1.1 bn USD

Dev. A. 2.3 bn USD

only India 0.8 bn USD

only China 0.8 bn USD

0.2 bn USD

SSA: Sub-Saharan Africa, Dev. A.: Developing Asia, EA: East Asia, Oce: Oceania, SA: Southern Asia, SEA: South-Eastern Asia, ME: Middle East, NAf: North Africa

Clean Cooking Facilities for All - Proposed share of necessary annual investment needed per technology

Source	Technology	Necessary annual investment
IEA WEO 2011	In Total LPG Cookstoves Biomass systems Biomass Cookstoves	3.5 billion USD/year 0.9 billion USD/year 1.8 billion USD/year 0.8 billion USD/year

Sources

↑ Source: IIASA GEA 2012: Global Energy Assessment- Towards a Sustainable Future, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
↑ Source: OECD/IEA (2013): World Energy Outlook 2013
↑ Source: OECD/IEA (2012): World Energy Outlook 2012 http://www.iea.org/papers/2011/weo2011_energy_for_all.pdf
↑ Source: OECD/IEA (2011): Energy for All – Financing Access for the Poor. Special early excerpt of the World Energy Outlook 2011. Updated estimates of the OECD/IEA 2010fckLRhttp://www.iea.org/papers/2011/weo2011_energy_for_all.pdffckLR
↑ Source: Practical Action (2012): Poor People’s Energy Outlook: http://practicalaction.org/ppeo2012-report
↑ Source: UN General Assembly - International Year for Sustainable Energy for All, 11 November 2010, Sixty-fifth session, Second Committee
↑ Source: WHO – The Energy Access Situation in developing countries. A Review Focusing on the Least Developed Countries and Sub-Saharan Africa (November 2009)
↑ AGECC Report 2010: Energy for a sustainable future: http://www.un-energy.org/publications/558-agecc-report-energy-for-a-sustainable-future
↑ Source: UN SE4All Global Tracking Report, Data based on IEA 2012, the data is based on National household surveys; WB global electrification database, 2012 ; WHO household energy database, 2012
↑ Source: PPhP (2014), Patterns of Potential Human Progress, Volume 4, Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures University Denver
↑ Source: GACC, Issue – Environmnet, [online] http://www.cleancookstoves.org/our-work/the-issues/ last accessed 11/11/2013
↑ Source: WHO, Indoor air pollution and health, September 2011 [online] http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs292/en/
↑ http://www.un-energy.org/cluster/energy_access
↑ Source: Pauchauri et al (2013), Pathways to achieve universal household access to modern energy by 2030, Environmental Research Letters 8
↑ Source: B.J. Ruijven, J. Schers, D.P. van Vuuren: Model-based scenarios for rural electrification in devloping countries, (2012), Energy 38 386-397

[0] Source: IIASA GEA 2012: Global Energy Assessment- Towards a Sustainable Future, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

[1] Source: OECD/IEA (2013): World Energy Outlook 2013

[2] Source: OECD/IEA (2012): World Energy Outlook 2012 http://www.iea.org/papers/2011/weo2011_energy_for_all.pdf

[3] Source: OECD/IEA (2011): Energy for All – Financing Access for the Poor. Special early excerpt of the World Energy Outlook 2011. Updated estimates of the OECD/IEA 2010fckLRhttp://www.iea.org/papers/2011/weo2011_energy_for_all.pdffckLR

[4] Source: Practical Action (2012): Poor People’s Energy Outlook: http://practicalaction.org/ppeo2012-report

[5] Source: UN General Assembly - International Year for Sustainable Energy for All, 11 November 2010, Sixty-fifth session, Second Committee

[6] Source: WHO – The Energy Access Situation in developing countries. A Review Focusing on the Least Developed Countries and Sub-Saharan Africa (November 2009)

[7] AGECC Report 2010: Energy for a sustainable future: http://www.un-energy.org/publications/558-agecc-report-energy-for-a-sustainable-future

[8] Source: UN SE4All Global Tracking Report, Data based on IEA 2012, the data is based on National household surveys; WB global electrification database, 2012 ; WHO household energy database, 2012

[9] Source: PPhP (2014), Patterns of Potential Human Progress, Volume 4, Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures University Denver

[10] Source: GACC, Issue – Environmnet, [online] http://www.cleancookstoves.org/our-work/the-issues/ last accessed 11/11/2013

[11] Source: WHO, Indoor air pollution and health, September 2011 [online] http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs292/en/

[12] ttp://www.un-energy.org/cluster/energy_access

[13] Source: Pauchauri et al (2013), Pathways to achieve universal household access to modern energy by 2030, Environmental Research Letters 8

[14] Source: B.J. Ruijven, J. Schers, D.P. van Vuuren: Model-based scenarios for rural electrification in devloping countries, (2012), Energy 38 386-397

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@@ Line 538: / Line 538: @@
 <br/>
 == Electricity ==
@@ Line 545: / Line 546: @@
 {| style="width: 100%;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"
 |-
-| style="width: 111px; background-color: rgb(204, 204, 204);" | <p style="text-align: center;">Source</p>
+| style="width: 130px; background-color: rgb(204, 204, 204);" | <p style="text-align: center;">Source</p>
-| style="width: 111px; background-color: rgb(204, 204, 204);" | <p style="text-align: center;">Global</p>
+| style="width: 161px; background-color: rgb(204, 204, 204);" | <p style="text-align: center;">Global</p>
 | style="width: 111px; background-color: rgb(204, 204, 204);" | <p style="text-align: center;">Africa</p>
 | style="width: 111px; background-color: rgb(204, 204, 204);" | <p style="text-align: center;">Asia</p>
 | style="width: 111px; background-color: rgb(204, 204, 204);" | <p style="text-align: center;">Latin America</p>
 |-
-| style="width: 111px;" |
+| style="width: 130px;" |
 UN <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="189" data-scayt_word="se4all">SE4All</span> 2013
-| style="width: 152px;" | <p style="text-align: right;">30.1 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="191" data-scayt_word="bn">bn</span> USD</p>
+| style="width: 161px;" | <p style="text-align: right;">30.1 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="191" data-scayt_word="bn">bn</span> USD</p>
 | style="width: 125px;" | <p style="text-align: right;">SSA 19.1 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="193" data-scayt_word="bn">bn</span> USD</p>
 | style="width: 158px;" | <p style="text-align: right;">EA & <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="197" data-scayt_word="oce">Oce</span> 0.4 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="195" data-scayt_word="bn">bn</span> USD</p><p style="text-align: right;">SA 9.2 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="199" data-scayt_word="bn">bn</span> USD</p><p style="text-align: right;">SEA 1.3 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="201" data-scayt_word="bn">bn</span> USD</p>
 | style="width: 142px;" | <p style="text-align: right;"><br/></p>
 |-
-| style="width: 111px;" |
+| style="width: 130px;" |
 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="209" data-scayt_word="iea">IEA</span> <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="211" data-scayt_word="weo">WEO</span> 2011
-| style="width: 152px;" | <p style="text-align: right;">30.5 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="203" data-scayt_word="bn">bn</span> USD</p>
+| style="width: 161px;" | <p style="text-align: right;">30.5 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="203" data-scayt_word="bn">bn</span> USD</p>
 | style="width: 125px;" | <p style="text-align: right;">SSA 18.5 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="205" data-scayt_word="bn">bn</span> USD</p>
 | style="width: 158px;" | <p style="text-align: right;"><span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="213" data-scayt_word="dev">Dev</span>. A. 11.5 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="207" data-scayt_word="bn">bn</span> USD</p><p style="text-align: right;">only India 6.4 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="215" data-scayt_word="bn">bn</span> USD</p>
 | style="width: 142px;" | <p style="text-align: right;">0.3 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="217" data-scayt_word="bn">bn</span> USD</p>
 |-
-| style="width: 111px;" | <p style="text-align: right;"><span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="221" data-scayt_word="ruijven">Ruijven</span> et al. 2012<ref>Source: B.J. Ruijven, J. Schers, D.P. van Vuuren: Model-based scenarios for rural electrification in devloping countries, (2012), Energy 38 386-397</ref></p>
+| style="width: 130px;" |
-| style="width: 152px;" | <p style="text-align: right;">From 2010 - 2030</p><p style="text-align: right;">238 – 400 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="219" data-scayt_word="bn">bn</span> USD</p>
+<span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="221" data-scayt_word="ruijven">Ruijven</span> et al. 2012<ref>Source: B.J. Ruijven, J. Schers, D.P. van Vuuren: Model-based scenarios for rural electrification in devloping countries, (2012), Energy 38 386-397</ref>
+| style="width: 161px;" | <p style="text-align: right;">From 2010 - 2030</p><p style="text-align: right;">238 – 400 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="219" data-scayt_word="bn">bn</span> USD</p>
 | style="width: 125px;" | <p style="text-align: right;">SSA</p><p style="text-align: right;">6.1 – 10.2 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="223" data-scayt_word="bn">bn</span> USD</p>
 | style="width: 158px;" | <p style="text-align: right;">Asia</p><p style="text-align: right;">1.4 – 2.5 <span class="scayt-misspell" data-scaytid="225" data-scayt_word="bn">bn</span> USD</p>
@@ Line 606: / Line 609: @@
 <br/>
 == Cooking Energy ==

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Revision as of 12:41, 13 December 2013

Contents

Electricity Access

Lack of access to electricity worldwide (absolute numbers)

Lack of access to electricity regional (absolute numbers)

Access to Electricity worldwide (% of population)

Access to Electricity regional (% of population)

Access to clean cooking energy

People relying on traditional biomass worldwide (absolute numbers)

People relying on traditional biomass regional (absolute numbers)

Access to non-solid-biofuels worldwide (% of population)

Household Use of modern Forms of Energy (% of population)

Cooking with traditional biomass worldwide (% of population)

Access to Non-solid fuels regional (% of population)

Cooking with traditional biomass (% of population)

Necessary Investment for Universal Access to Modern Energy Services

Additional average annual investment needed for total/universal energy access

Electricity

Cooking Energy

Sources

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Community

About

Help

Contact

Search

Main Page

About energypedia

Technologies

Energy Use

Cross Cutting Issues

energypedia consult

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Namespaces

Variants

Views

Actions

Energy Access Figures

Revision as of 12:41, 13 December 2013

Contents

Electricity Access

Lack of access to electricity worldwide (absolute numbers)

Lack of access to electricity regional (absolute numbers)

Access to Electricity worldwide (% of population)

Access to Electricity regional (% of population)

Access to clean cooking energy

People relying on traditional biomass worldwide (absolute numbers)

People relying on traditional biomass regional (absolute numbers)

Access to non-solid-biofuels worldwide (% of population)

Household Use of modern Forms of Energy (% of population)

Cooking with traditional biomass worldwide (% of population)

Access to Non-solid fuels regional (% of population)

Cooking with traditional biomass (% of population)

Necessary Investment for Universal Access to Modern Energy Services

Additional average annual investment needed for total/universal energy access

Electricity

Cooking Energy

Sources