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| | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(0, 102, 0);" | | | | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(0, 102, 0);" | |
| <font color="#ffffff">Technology</font> | | <font color="#ffffff">Technology</font> |
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| | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(50, 100, 154);" | | | | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(50, 100, 154);" | |
| <span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Delivery Models</span><br/> | | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Delivery Models</span><br/> |
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| | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(154, 103, 0);" | | | | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(154, 103, 0);" | |
| <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Legual Basis</span> | | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Legual Basis</span> |
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| | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(32, 56, 100);" | | | | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(32, 56, 100);" | |
| <span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Finance</span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> | | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Finance</span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> |
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| <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Other Forms of Non-Financial Interventions</span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> | | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Other Forms of Non-Financial Interventions</span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> |
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| The advantages of well-targeted capacity building, including raised awareness, is that previously-constrained operators in the electrification sector can be equipped with new skills that enhance their performance and so achieve more successful results. If executed efficiently, any training processes can ensure that recipients are aware of the most recent experience and approaches regarding electrification, and have the capability to apply these measures in their own local context. This will usually lead to increased efficiency of operations in terms of cost-effectiveness, greater impact, reduced timeframes and successful outcomes. A lack of such capacity can limit the potential benefits from intended access to electricity in remote areas. | | The advantages of well-targeted capacity building, including raised awareness, is that previously-constrained operators in the electrification sector can be equipped with new skills that enhance their performance and so achieve more successful results. If executed efficiently, any training processes can ensure that recipients are aware of the most recent experience and approaches regarding electrification, and have the capability to apply these measures in their own local context. This will usually lead to increased efficiency of operations in terms of cost-effectiveness, greater impact, reduced timeframes and successful outcomes. A lack of such capacity can limit the potential benefits from intended access to electricity in remote areas. |
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| *IRENA (2012), Capacity Needs Assessments for Rural Electrification, <u>[http://www.irena.org/menu/index.aspx?mnu=Subcat&PriMenuID=30&CatID=79&SubcatID=260 http://www.irena.org/menu/index.aspx?mnu=Subcat&PriMenuID=30&CatID=79&SubcatID=260]</u> | | *IRENA (2012), Capacity Needs Assessments for Rural Electrification, <u>[http://www.irena.org/menu/index.aspx?mnu=Subcat&PriMenuID=30&CatID=79&SubcatID=260 http://www.irena.org/menu/index.aspx?mnu=Subcat&PriMenuID=30&CatID=79&SubcatID=260]</u> |
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| *[[NAE Case Study: Bangladesh, IDCOL Solar Home Systems|Bangladesh, IDCOL Solar Home Systems]]<br/> | | *[[NAE Case Study: Bangladesh, IDCOL Solar Home Systems|Bangladesh, IDCOL Solar Home Systems]]<br/> |
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| | style="width: 618px;" | | | | style="width: 618px;" | |
− | '''<span></span><span></span><span></span><span>Finance provided by investors or lenders in the expectation of financial returns (profit). </span><span></span><span></span><span></span>''' | + | '''<span></span><span></span><span></span><span></span><span>Making available information useful to a business that is considering entering an electricity market.</span><span></span><span></span><span></span><span></span>''' |
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− | <span>Private finance will be input on commercial terms, meaning that the investor or lender will expect to receive returns that exceed the original investment or loan and at a level that reflects the risks involved. Factors considered by financiers may include risks to implementation, delivery and technology performance, risks of cost escalation, market/demand and credit/payment risks, regulatory and macro-economic risks and external risks such as policy framework and weather. Any financier will require clear information on forecast revenues and potential risks before providing funding. It may be difficult for new electricity businesses working in new markets, and for users without a formal credit-record, to give commercial funders the confidence they require. Finance for electrification may come in the form of equity investment, or capital asset or working capital loans, and may be provided to a business as a whole, to a specific project or to end-users.<span><span><span></span><span></span></span></span></span> | + | <span>This may include information on government policies and targets, the regulatory framework, institutional stakeholders, energy resources available for electricity production, demand and willingness to pay for electricity access, current levels of access (including extent of the grid system and plans for its extension) and electricity providers already active in the market. With this information an electricity provider can judge the prospects of building a sustainable, profitable business. Making the information openly available will lower the transaction costs of market entry for new electricity businesses, since it removes the need for each to go through the process of gathering the information for themselves, and thus make the market more attractive.</span><br/> |
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− | '''''Equity''''' - Any equity investment implies partial business ownership, with the investor taking the risk of losing their investment if the electricity venture fails, but also expecting to receive bonus returns if forecast targets are exceeded. Early stage investment in new businesses often relies on finance from entrepreneurial individuals, angel investors or venture capitalists who are willing to take large risks but expect to receive high returns on their investment if it’s successful.<br/><br/>'''''Loans''''' - capital asset loans are used, generally in later stages of business development and on specific projects, to leverage equity investment enabling businesses to scale up and expand their assets. Capital lenders expect repayment of loans over fixed periods and with pre-agreed (fixed or variable) interest rates, so that if profits fall short of forecasts payments are reduced only once equity capital has been exhausted, but if forecasts are exceeded lenders receive no additional benefit.<br/><br/>'''''Working capital'''''- alongside capital investment, most businesses require working capital to bridge the gap between expenditure and receipt of revenues. Working capital is particularly needed by, for instance, solar product businesses, where there may be three months or more between purchase/ import of the product by the business and sale to the end-user.<br/> | + | <span>'''''Breadth of Information''''' – the energy source and the physical potential for electricity generation are rarely the deciding factors in investment decisions aimed at new connections. Instead, the most relevant considerations for practitioners are national policies, regulations and market size. Most practitioners consider a combination of physical and non-physical factors, but give more weight to policy and regulatory factors and to the ability to develop local marketing networks. This is due to the higher perceived project risk from factors such as access to target communities (is grid extension or decentralised generation most cost-effective?) than from, for example, the levelised cost of solar radiation. Therefore, an opportunity assessment focused only on the availability of energy resources will not meet the needs of potential operators. This must include consideration of broader market issues to be of any value.</span><br/> |
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− | '''''Sources of finance''''' - Often both international and local finance is required to support electrification – particularly where capital equipment or products are imported. The scale of funding needed for electrification may require international finance, and international financiers may have greater familiarity with, and hence be more comfortable with, some of the issues associated with the energy sector, particularly if their funding is channelled through an international company. However, local private funders will be more familiar with the national context and be more confident in resolving, and hence charge less premium for, risks associated with it. Exchange rate, and hence macro-economic, risks will always be an issue for private financiers where any of the electrification costs are in foreign currency. This issue will be greater where international funding is used to cover more than just import costs, and international funders will be very reluctant to provide finance if repatriation of funds is constrained. <br/> | + | <span>'''''Format of market information'''''– the level of detail (granularity) of the information provided is important, since if this is inadequate it will be of little use. It is also vital that information is made available in one place (eg a single on-line portal), and that it is consistent and can be linked together - so that, for instance, the proximity of generating resources and demand centres can be determined. It has also been found that raw data is much more useful to potential project implementers than is processed data. Developers often see only marginal benefits in outputs from processed data (such as maps of target locations) since they have concern over the assumptions and specifications used in creating such outputs. These criteria are unlikely to be fully-aligned with a developer’s findings from a specific location. Consequently, practitioners generally prefer using their own assumptions, value choices, and scenarios within any opportunity assessment – only then can they fully trust the outputs of any model that makes use of the data. Market information should therefore focus on the provision of basic details that reflect the conditions, rather than including any estimates based on this data.</span><br/> |
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| + | '''''Currency'''''– regular updating of market information is critical to its continued relevance, particularly for the entry of potential private sector operators into a new market. Details of policies and regulations may need to be updated even more regularly than physical factors, since there is an expectation of regular changes in the priorities and targets of government and related institutions. To provide such market information will require a dedicated organisation or a dedicated platform hosted by a relevant organisation that provides links to the most up-to-date sources. This should enable the close monitoring of relevant physical and non-physical factors, including policies and regulations that can become quickly outdated quickly. Maintaining up-to-date information sources will be crucial to stimulate stakeholder uptakes of any market details made available.<br/> |
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| | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(0, 102, 0);" | | | | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(0, 102, 0);" | |
| <font color="#ffffff">Technology</font> | | <font color="#ffffff">Technology</font> |
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| | style="width: 616px;" | | | | style="width: 616px;" | |
− | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span>Most national grid systems are constructed using public funds, though private finance can be introduced through privatisation of existing assets, inviting private generators to feed into the national grid, or establishment of distribution/grid-connected mini-grid concessions. For instance, the introduction of feed-in tariffs (e.g. in Tanzania) has provided the basis for private investment in generation. Mini-grids are more frequently, though by no means always, financed by the private sector since the smaller investment and shorter payback period can reduce the risks and provides a more manageable business opportunity. Stand-alone systems offer even greater opportunities for market-based finance since the relatively short period between purchase and sale to the user means that that only business establishment and a small amount of equipment capital investment is at risk. | + | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span>The information needed will depend on the form of technology. In making information available, the focus should therefore be on those technologies expected to play a significant part in national electrification. Information on the current and planned extent of the grid system (and the intended timing of extension) will be particularly important for other electricity providers. |
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| | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(50, 100, 154);" | | | | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(50, 100, 154);" | |
− | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Delivery Models</span><br/> | + | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Delivery Models</span> |
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− | <br/>
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| | style="width: 616px;" | | | | style="width: 616px;" | |
− | Application of market-based finance, by definition, requires private sector ownership or a public-private partnership (PPP). PPPs are often an effective way to attract private finance since the public-sector element can offer funding and offset the risk associated with financing of electrification. Any private or PPP financing will require a business model with clear investment requirements and projections of income that provide expected return on investment over an acceptable timeframe, and with acceptable levels of risk and uncertainty.
| + | Provision of market information is most valuable for private delivery models, and may be relevant in a public-private context. |
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| | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(154, 103, 0);" | | | | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(154, 103, 0);" | |
− | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Legual Basis</span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> | + | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Legual Basis</span> |
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− | <br/>
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− | | + | Under a concession arrangement, relevant information may be provided through a concession bidding process, and open access information is therefore most likely to be valuable in a licensed or unregulated market context. Information on the regulatory system is an important element of market information provision. |
− | | style="width: 616px;" | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span> | + | |
− | Any private finance provider will consider the legal basis of electrification in terms of the risk profile it presents to them. The lower the risk and the greater certainty, the more likelihood that private finance will be available and at a lower cost. The most fundamental requirement for any private investment in fixed assets is clarity around the legality of operating and selling electricity. This may be provided explicitly through a concession or license, or through a general exclusion of certain types of electricity provision (e.g. mini-grids below a certain size) from the need to be licensed. Without this basic regulatory clarity, and so with the risk that future introduction of regulation may undermine their business and restrict their levels of income, it will be extremely difficult to attract private finance for electrification.
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| | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(204, 51, 0);" | | | | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(204, 51, 0);" | |
− | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Price/Tariff Regulation</span><br/> | + | <span style="color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 13.6px; background-color: rgb(204, 51, 0);">Price/Tariff Regulation</span> |
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− | Is a critical factor for private investment in electrification, with inadequate or inappropriate price/tariff regulation often cited as the key barrier to such finance. Whatever form of price/tariff regulation is used the critical requirement is that it is clear and transparent, as without this, private financiers will see a significant risk of political pressure reducing prices or tariffs to the point below which they fail to cover investment costs.
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| | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(32, 56, 100);" | | | | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(32, 56, 100);" | |
− | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Other Forms of Finance</span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> | + | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Finance</span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> |
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| | style="width: 616px;" | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span> | | | style="width: 616px;" | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span> |
− | <span style="font-size: 13.6px;">In many cases some other form(s) of public finance such as grants, subsidies, concessionary loans, tax exemptions or guarantees (to reduce investment risks) will be needed alongside private finance to overcome the lack of user spending power and the high costs of early market development.</span><span></span> | + | <span style="font-size: 13.6px;">For the private sector to consider any form of investment in electrification, they will need to have access to market information that provides a sufficiently confident assessment of the potential for returns on investment in this market. This includes the potential demand for electricity from newly-connected users, any constraints to operations (such as policy obligations for suppliers, regulations, limited access to energy resources) and any financial charges – or other related costs - that will be applied to electricity supply services. The development of a business plan, which will provide the foundation for any private sector involvement in the electrification market of a country, will only be possible if the private operator has sufficient access to market information – the capacity to generate such information is therefore critical to the cost-effective expansion of electrification.</span> |
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− | '''''User Finance''''' – Charges paid by users provide the means to repay electricity providers’ loans and equity investments and pay interest and return on capital. Where upfront charges are imposed on users, they may in turn seek to borrow to cover these charges and then repay the loan over time. Alternatively the electricity provider may seek additional finance in order to reduce up-front charges and so minimize barriers to users accessing their services.
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| | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(0, 100, 100);" | | | | style="width: 117px; background-color: rgb(0, 100, 100);" | |
− | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Non-Financial Interventions</span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> | + | <span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;">Other Forms of Non-Financial Interventions</span><span style="color:#FFFFFF;"></span><br/> |
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− | Most support activities to assist national electrification will reduce the perceived financial risk and so help to attract private sector investment and sustainable market development. Providing policies and targets, standards and technical assistance for new electrification initiatives will all increase the private financier’s certainty regarding the likely outcomes and so reduce the risk of investment. Market information, capacity building and customer engagement through promotional activity will all have a similar positive effect.<span style="font-size: 13.6px;"></span>
| + | Regulatory reform – reform of regulations (or the introduction of new, additional laws that require compliance and potentially cause increased costs to any suppliers) must be carefully monitored by any business that is already providing electricity services, or is planning to do so. The availability of relevant market information regarding the status of current regulation and any reforms that are planned or are likely during the term of any envisaged business investment, is a critical factor for any potential investor in the expansion of electricity supply.<br/><br/>'''''[[National_Approaches_to_Electrification_–_Non-Financial_Interventions#Quality.2FTechnical_Standards|Quality/Technical Standards]]''''' – the existing or planned standards that apply to a market will determine the ultimate cost of the products and/or services supplied. New standards are increasingly under consideration to improve the reliability of systems involved with electricity connections. This will have a direct bearing on the costs to suppliers, who will be obliged to increase the quality of their products, and potentially source components from greater distances. Such increased cost of supply is likely to impact the level of returns that a business can expect from the market for new electricity connections, and thereby cast doubts over the commercial viability. Clear details of any enforced standards related to electrification in the country concerned are therefore needed by suppliers – both before and during their operations on the ground. This market information will provide a valuable input for such businesses and help to determine the prospects for increased investment.<br/><br/>'''''[[National_Approaches_to_Electrification_–_Non-Financial_Interventions#National_Energy_Planning|National Energy Planning]]''''' – There is considerable overlap between the information needed for national energy planning and that required by potential electricity providers. The plan itself may provide on source of market information, but as discussed above the raw data behind it will be more useful to prospective electricity providers, and this information will need to be updated to maintain its accuracy and relevance.<span style="font-size: 13.6px;"></span> |
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− | If private finance is attracted, it can support rapid electrification at a large scale, and can free up public funding to be used for other things. If market conditions are such as to attract purely private finance, this indicates that the electrification process will be self-sustaining without dependence upon external grants or subsidies from the government or donor organisations. Where customers are able to pay for electricity at a level that allows the supply to be maintained under market conditions, there is no concern over the withdrawal of public funding that may then prevent continued access to electricity. Experience also indicates that involvement of private finance can drive innovation and efficiencies in electrification as in other sectors.
| + | The great advantage of having reliable market information is that any business can plan accurately, responding directly to user needs and providing a return on investment that will be sufficient to secure continued, and ideally expanded, operations. For increased electrification into rural areas, such information is an essential part of attracting suppliers and financiers. Without sufficient details of the target market, the uncertainties involved in such intervention are simply too great, leading to a risk profile that is untenable for any potential investors. The advantage of providing this information centrally is that it avoids the costs to businesses considering entering the market of each gathering it separately – a cost which may well be so great that it prevents businesses from entering the market at all. |
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− | Private finance, however, requires clear evidence that revenues will provide returns on investment, and this may be an insurmountable barrier, particularly for forms of electrification such as grid and mini-grid systems which have high upfront capital costs that will be recovered over long periods (perhaps 20 years). Even where macro-economic conditions are stable, regulatory frameworks and prices/tariffs transparent, and users able to afford electricity, financiers may be reluctant to provide support in the absence of established companies with a track record of performance. Much time and effort may be expended in the attempt to attract sufficient private finance without the required results. Furthermore, private finance is usually more expensive than general government borrowing and this will particularly be the case for programmes that are seen by the financiers as carrying significant levels of risk.
| + | The main disadvantage is the costs and resources needed to collate the information and maintain it. If information is not sufficiently accurate, detailed and reliable to meet businesses’ needs, it will be of no use to them and this expenditure will have been wasted. There is also the danger than details available for one location may be inappropriately extrapolated to other user-groups, thereby providing a misleading impression of the business constraints and potential. Market information may also be skewed by the perspective and/or interpretation of the information provider, or the information may be incomplete, lacking essential details that will be critical for accurate business development decisions. Therefore, any market information related to electrification demand in remote areas must to be viewed within the context that it is prepared and supplied. |
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− | *De Montfort University (2013), Financing Energy Access and Off-grid Electrification: A Review of Status, Options and Challenges [https://www.dmu.ac.uk/documents/technology-documents/research-faculties/oasys/project-outputs/peer-reviewed-journal-articles/pj7--financing-energy-access--rser-paper.pdf https://www.dmu.ac.uk/documents/technology-documents/research-faculties/oasys/project-outputs/peer-reviewed-journal-articles/pj7--financing-energy-access--rser-paper.pdf]
| |
− | *UNEP-FI (2012), Financing renewable energy in developing countries [http://www.unepfi.org/fileadmin/documents/Financing_Renewable_Energy_in_subSaharan_Africa.pdf http://www.unepfi.org/fileadmin/documents/Financing_Renewable_Energy_in_subSaharan_Africa.pdf]
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| | | | | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Bangladesh, IDCOL Solar Home Systems|Bangladesh, IDCOL Solar Home Systems]]<br/>
| + | *[[NAE Case Study: Rwanda, Sector-Wide Approach to Planning|Rwanda, Sector-Wide Approach to Planning]] |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Brazil, Luz para Todos (Light for All)|Brazil, Luz para Todos (Light for All)]]<br/>
| + | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Cambodia “Light Touch” Regulation|Cambodia “Light Touch” Regulation]]<br/>
| + | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Ethiopia, Solar Market Development|Ethiopia, Solar Market Development]]<br/>
| + | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Kenya, Off-Grid for Vision 2030|Kenya, Off-Grid for Vision 2030]]<br/>
| + | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Mali, Rural Electrification Programme|Mali, Rural Electrification Programme]]<br/>
| + | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Philippines, Islanded Distribution by Cooperatives|Philippines, Islanded Distribution by Cooperatives]]<br/>
| + | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Rwanda, Sector-Wide Approach to Planning|Rwanda, Sector-Wide Approach to Planning]]<br/> | + | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Tanzania, Mini-Grids Regulatory Framework|Tanzania, Mini-Grids Regulatory Framework]]<br/>
| + | |
− | *[[NAE Case Study: Vietnam, Rapid Grid Expansion|Vietnam, Rapid Grid Expansion]]<br/>
| + | |
| | | |
| |} | | |} |
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− | <br/>
| |
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Interventions should be regarded as part of a National Electrification Approache only if they are integral to governement electrification policy/strategy
Since capacity building can be applied in all areas of activity related to national electrification activities, each of the other NEA categories can be impacted to some degree. However, there are some categories where capacity building may have a significant effect, such as those indicated below.
The Review was prepared by Mary Willcox and Dean Cooper of Practical Action Consulting working with Hadley Taylor, Silvia Cabriolu-Poddu and Christina Stuart of the EU Energy Initiative Partnership Dialogue Facility (EUEIPDF) and Michael Koeberlein and Caspar Priesemann of the Energising Development Programme (EnDev). It is based on a literature review, stakeholder consultations. The categorization framework in the review tool is based on the EUEI/PDF / Practical Action publication "Building Energy Access Markets - A Value Chain Analysis of Key Energy Market Systems".
A wider range of stakeholders were consulted during its preparation and we would particularly like to thank the following for their valuable contributions and insights:
- Jeff Felten, AfDB - Marcus Wiemann and other members, ARE - Guilherme Collares Pereira, EdP - David Otieno Ochieng, EUEI-PDF - Silvia Luisa Escudero Santos Ascarza, EUEI-PDF - Nico Peterschmidt, Inensus - John Tkacik, REEEP - Khorommbi Bongwe, South Africa: Department of Energy - Rashid Ali Abdallah, African Union Commission - Nicola Bugatti, ECREEE - Getahun Moges Kifle, Ethiopian Energy Authority - Mario Merchan Andres, EUEI-PDF - Tatjana Walter-Breidenstein, EUEI-PDF - Rebecca Symington, Mlinda Foundation - Marcel Raats, RVO.NL - Nico Tyabji, Sunfunder -